Public research library: markets, startups and evidence
Read free guides to inflation, employment, currencies, crypto risk, AI benchmarks and scenario research. Primary sources and practical questions included.
Research materials for everyone
No sign-in or payment is required to read these original explanatory guides. Source-linked forecasts, market observations and country data are public too.
- How to read inflation without losing the context
Separate the price level, the inflation rate, the comparison period and the household experience.
- A research checklist for the jobs report
Employment, unemployment, participation and wages describe different parts of the labour market.
- From interest-rate decisions to business implications
Trace the mechanism from a policy announcement to financing, customer demand and currencies.
- An FX reference rate is not your executable price
Understand quote direction, cross-rates, publication time and the costs missing from a reference series.
- Crypto price, volume and liquidity: three different questions
A last-traded price cannot show how much activity exists or what a larger order would encounter.
- Volatility and drawdown measure different kinds of movement
Read variability, losses from prior peaks and the limits of a short historical window.
- A forecast probability is not an asset price
Keep community belief, practice-point contract prices and observable financial markets distinct.
- Research startup adoption beyond announcements
Distinguish business formation, sign-ups, repeated use, paying demand and durable adoption.
- Evaluate AI benchmarks against your actual use case
A leaderboard result is one observation; deployment quality also depends on task, data and failure cost.
- Audit market-data freshness before interpreting a chart
Observation time, retrieval time, release time and revision history are different pieces of evidence.
- Build an evidence ledger that another researcher can audit
Connect every important claim to an original source, a definition, a date and a stated limitation.
- Scenario analysis for founder and research decisions
Explore consequences under explicit assumptions without presenting a scenario as a forecast.