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Will US final-demand PPI rise at least 0.3% in September 2026?

The BLS calendar schedules September PPI for 15 October. Forecast the first published seasonally adjusted monthly final-demand change.

YES if the first September 2026 BLS PPI release reports seasonally adjusted final-demand monthly change >=0.3%. Lower is NO. Later revisions do not count. Resolve by 22 Oct 2026; VOID if no verifiable release by then.

Original source

Research background

This question tests a measurable economic or payments milestone. The exact series, unit and reporting period matter as much as the headline.

What to measure

  • Identify the exact reported measure and its unit.
  • Compare the recorded figure with the threshold in the settlement rule.
  • Keep monthly, annual, seasonally adjusted and unadjusted figures separate.

Hypothetical outcomes

YES: The named official measure crosses the exact threshold within the allowed period.

NO: The official measure fails to cross the threshold within the allowed period.

Dated observations

No reviewed statistical observations have been posted yet.

Question background and scenarios explain the settlement criteria. Scenarios are hypothetical, not claims about future events. Editor-recorded observations carry source links and dates; source discovery is not proof of a fresh check. Market-watch observations are contextual and do not replace the named settlement source.