Will BTC/USD be above $200,000 at 23:59 UTC on 31 Dec 2027?
A free forecast about one precisely defined observation. No deposits, trading, or prizes.
YES if the Coinbase BTC-USD one-minute candle at 23:59 UTC on 31 Dec 2027 closes strictly above US$200,000. Otherwise NO. Voting closes before that minute.
Original sourceResearch background
This is a defined price observation, not a promise of investment returns. Exchange, quote currency, candle interval and UTC timestamp determine the comparison.
What to measure
- Use the named exchange and USD pair in the rule.
- Use completed candles at the exact interval and UTC timestamps.
- Treat other exchange prices and technical indicators as context, not settlement evidence.
Hypothetical outcomes
YES: The precise source observation passes the price comparison in the settlement rule.
NO: The precise source observation does not pass the comparison; equality is handled by the written rule.
Dated observations
No reviewed statistical observations have been posted yet.
Question background and scenarios explain the settlement criteria. Scenarios are hypothetical, not claims about future events. Editor-recorded observations carry source links and dates; source discovery is not proof of a fresh check. Market-watch observations are contextual and do not replace the named settlement source.